炮控系统性能试验中角位移量的几种测量方法

炮控分系统是主战坦克等地面攻坚武器系统的重要组成部分,在坦克全系统定型试验前,必须进行分系统的试验测试。国内目前使用的测试方法和测量设备还停在五六十年代的水平,为适应主战坦克武器系统的发展,必须研制一套测量精度高、自动化程度强的测量设备。介绍了以计算机为中心构建的炮控性能参数测试系统的组成与工作原理,讨论了炮控系统性能试验中利用CCD传感器与坐标靶、PSD传感器与电子靶、点光源与CCD传感器、激光(光纤)陀螺传感器或电测法进行角位移量测量的几种方法。     

保障方案综合分析方法研究

在保障性分析过程中,大量的保障性分析工作都是围绕保障方案的逐步形成进行的。备选保障方案形成后,需要进行权衡分析,为权衡备选保障方案,从可行性和工程化的角度出发选择对装备有重大影响的保障费用和保障资源等因素作为评价目标,对装备备选保障方案进行了权衡分析方法探索。阐明了保障方案的内涵,提出了保障费用权衡和保障资源综合评价等权衡分析方法。对装备保障费用的估算提出了符合工程化要求的模型。并认为,装备保障方案的建立与优化是保障性分析工作的核心内容。对于备选保障方案的权衡有多种权衡准则和方法,评价者采用的评价准则和方法不同,最终得到的结果一般是不同的。     

A Nonlinear Model of Military Expenditure Convergence: Evidence From Estar Nonlinear Unit Root Test

The paper builds a model to empirically test military expenditure convergence in a nonlinear set up. We assert that country A chooses a military strategy of catching up with the military expenditure of its rivals, subject to public spending constraints on public investments, including health and education, leading to decrease in long-term economic welfare. This implies nonlinear convergence path: only when the military expenditure gap between countries reaches the threshold level, will it provide incentives to catch up with rival’s military expenditures. We test this nonlinear catching up hypothesis for 37 countries spanning from 1988 to 2012. Results from individual nonlinear cross-sectionally augmented Dickey–Fuller (NCADF) regression indicate that 53% of countries converge to world’s average military expenditure: where 39% of countries converge to Germany; 33% of countries converge to China; 22% of countries converge to the USA, and 11% of countries converge to Russia. Interestingly, USA does not exhibit nonlinear military expenditure convergence toward world’s average level. For panel NCADF regression, the result suggests that on average, there is evidence for countries converging to USA’s military expenditure at 10% significance level. For the convergence to the world’s average, the statistical significance is at the 1% significance level.     

微型波力发电装置的捕浪器研究

针对漂浮式微型波力发电装置,根据弗汝德·克雷洛夫假定法对几种常用形状浮子所受波浪力的大小进行了计算,得出垂直圆柱形浮子吸收波浪能效果最佳的结论;运用装置和浮子共振时吸收能量最大的原理,对垂直圆柱形浮子的基本参数进行了研究,为漂浮式微型波力发电装置捕浪器浮子的设计打下了基础。     

战术互联网信息安全风险评估研究

针对战术互联网信息安全需求,利用德尔菲法建立了战术互联网信息安全风险评估指标体系,引入FAHP来确定战术互联网信息安全各风险因素的相对重要性,求得其权重系数,并得出系统的风险值和风险等级。实例结果表明,该方法能够解决战术互联网信息安全风险指标繁多而又相对模糊的问题,为制定科学的信息安全风险控制策略提供理论依据。     

Monitoring censored lifetime data with a weighted‐likelihood scheme

Lifetime experiments are common in many research areas and industrial applications. Recently, process monitoring for lifetime observations has received increasing attention. However, some existing methods are inadequate as neither their in control (IC) nor out of control (OC) performance is satisfactory. In addition, the challenges associated with designing robust and flexible control schemes have yet to be fully addressed. To overcome these limitations, this article utilizes a newly developed weighted likelihood ratio test, and proposes a novel monitoring strategy that automatically combines the likelihood of past samples with the exponential weighted sum average scheme. The proposed Censored Observation‐based Weighted‐Likelihood (COWL) control chart gives desirable IC and OC performances and is robust under various scenarios. In addition, a self‐starting control chart is introduced to cope with the problem of insufficient reference samples. Our simulation shows a stronger power in detecting changes in the censored lifetime data using our scheme than using other alternatives. A real industrial example based on the breaking strength of carbon fiber also demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed method. © 2016 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 63: 631–646, 2017     

Combat modeling of remotely targeted vehicles and a battery against a moving target

This paper considers a combined system composed of multiple stand-by remotely piloted vehicles (RPVs) and a single battery against a single passive enemy target, where the target, if not killed, is allowed to change its location after each attack. The RPV has the duty to report on target acquisition, to confirm a target kill, and to pass information on any change in target location after each battery attack. The battery has the duty to attack the target on the basis of the target location information provided to it by the RPV. We develop a closed-form expression for the time-dependent state probabilities of the system, which can be used to compute several important combat measures of effectiveness, including (a) the time-varying mean and variance of the number of the RPVs being alive and of the surviving enemy target, (b) the mission success, mission failure, and combat draw probabilities, and (c) the mean and variance of the combat duration time. Illustrative numerical examples are solved for these combat measures, and sensitivity analyses are performed with respect to target acquisition time and target kill probability. © 1998 John Wiley & Sons, Inc. Naval Research Logistics 45: 645–667, 1998     

新中国60年国防战略的历史演变

新中国成立60年来,国防战略先后做过4次重大调整.每一次调整既始终贯彻了积极防御这一新中国国防战略的本质要素,又与当时中国国家安全环境以及国家发展战略密切相关,有着明显的时代特征,显示了新中国国防战略的日臻成熟.     

基于PXA255的信息支持设备设计与实现

论述了基于PXA255嵌入式系统的手持式辅助维修系统信息支持设备的硬件结构和软件结构的设计,在W indows CE.NET 4.2的基础上,利用embedded V isual C 4.0设计了与硬件设备配套使用的软件部分,使该信息支持设备扩展了数字万用表/示波器、无线数传、CDMA、GPS和身份验证等多种功能。